What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Univ. Craiova and 0.9 from U. Cluj, so Univ. Craiova come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
U. Cluj come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This one is tight against the line: we make it around 2.6 goals (xG 1.6-1.0) and it takes three to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 55%). A close call rather than a comfortable one.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A goal against the run of play opens the game up, and a tight total can slip away fast. We only make this about 55%, so it's far from a lock.
