What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Abha and 1.8 from Al Khaleej, so Al Khaleej come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Abha come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
One thing to watch
If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. We make it about 61%: a lean, not a lock.
