How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 63%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Abha and 1.8 from Al Khaleej, so Al Khaleej come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This one is tight against the line: we make it around 3.1 goals (xG 1.3-1.8) and it takes four to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 65%). A close call rather than a comfortable one.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
