What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Al Khaleej and 2.0 from Al Ittihad, so Al Ittihad come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Al Ittihad to win. Al Ittihad shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.0), and we make them about 57% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent results
Al Ittihad have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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