What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Al Kholood and 2.4 from Al Qadsiah, so Al Qadsiah come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Al Qadsiah to win. Al Qadsiah shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-2.4), and we make them about 69% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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