How it turned out
The game finished with 1 goal. We made Under 4.5 goals 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 3.4 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
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