How it turned out

The game finished with 1 goal. We made Under 3.5 goals 59%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

I like this pick because the price looks good for a low scoring game. We think clear chances will be hard to come by, which should keep the total goals under 3.5. This game has the feel of a tight match with not many goals.

What the numbers say

✓Celtic have won one of their last five.

One thing to watch

Cagey games can burst open late, and a couple of goals in the closing stages would be enough to catch this out. We only make this about 59%, so it's far from a lock.