What to expect
We expect about 2.9 goals from Celtic and 0.7 from St Mirren, so Celtic come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Celtic -1 (win by 2+). Celtic to win this by two goals or more (xG 2.9-0.7). The handicap asks for more than just the win, which is why it pays what it does.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Celtic have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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