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Football/Scottish Premiership/Motherwell v Hearts
Scottish Premiership · Fir Park

Motherwell v Hearts prediction

Motherwell crestMotherwell9th of 12 · 8 ptsWLWLL
v
Hearts crestHearts3rd of 12 · 16 ptsWWLDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Motherwell and 1.4 from Hearts, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Motherwell come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Motherwell have won two of their last five.
✓Hearts have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

9 May 2026Motherwell 1 - 1 Hearts
11 Apr 2026Hearts 3 - 1 Motherwell
29 Nov 2025Motherwell 0 - 0 Hearts
23 Aug 2025Hearts 3 - 3 Motherwell
10 May 2025Hearts 3 - 0 Motherwell
Hearts have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.

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