What to expect
We expect about 2.3 goals from Ascoli and 0.8 from Vicenza, so Ascoli come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Ascoli come into this on two straight draws. Vicenza come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Ascoli or Draw. This covers Ascoli or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 90 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.19, which works out at about 84 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last two meetings are split 1-1, with no drawn.
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