Slovan Bratislava v Žilina: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.5 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Slovan Bratislava to win 59%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.2 goals from Slovan Bratislava and 1.3 from Žilina, so Slovan Bratislava come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Slovan Bratislava to win. Slovan Bratislava are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.3), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.66, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.