What to expect
We expect about 2.3 goals from Trabzonspor and 1.1 from Gaziantep, so Trabzonspor come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Trabzonspor come into this on five straight wins. Gaziantep come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Trabzonspor to win. Trabzonspor are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.0), and we make them about 69% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Trabzonspor have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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