What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Al-Ain and 1.2 from Al-Wasl, so Al-Ain come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al-Ain come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al-Ain to win. Al-Ain are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.2), and we make them about 51% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 50 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
