How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Paris Saint Germain to win 67%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
I like Paris Saint Germain to win because they seem stronger than Aston Villa. The price of 1.81 looks good to me. We think they have a good chance of coming out on top in this match.
What the numbers say
✓Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Aston Villa have won four of their last five.
Recent meetings
15 Apr 2025Aston Villa 3 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
9 Apr 2025Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Aston Villa
One thing to watch
Aston Villa only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We make it about 67%: a lean, not a lock.