What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Kryvbas and 2.0 from Dynamo Kyiv, so Dynamo Kyiv come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Dynamo Kyiv to win. Dynamo Kyiv shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-2.0), and we make them about 59% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Dynamo Kyiv have won five of the last five meetings.
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