What to expect
We expect about 0.6 goals from Liviy Bereh and 0.9 from LNZ Cherkasy, so LNZ Cherkasy come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.5 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: LNZ Cherkasy or Draw. This covers LNZ Cherkasy or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Liviy Bereh have won one of their last three.
✓LNZ Cherkasy have won two of their last three.
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