What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Montevideo Wanderers and 1.0 from Club Atlético Progreso, so Montevideo Wanderers come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Montevideo Wanderers come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Montevideo Wanderers or Draw. This covers Montevideo Wanderers or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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