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Football/Veikkausliiga/Ilves v VPS
Veikkausliiga · Tammelan Stadion

Ilves v VPS prediction

Ilves crestIlvesLLWWD
v
VPS crestVPSLLWWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.7 goals from Ilves and 1.3 from VPS, so Ilves come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 52%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Ilves have won two of their last five.
VPS have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

24 Apr 2026VPS 3 - 2 Ilves
14 Jul 2025Ilves 3 - 2 VPS
2 May 2025VPS 1 - 0 Ilves
4 Oct 2024VPS 0 - 2 Ilves
21 Jul 2024Ilves 3 - 2 VPS
Ilves have won three of the last five meetings.

One thing to watch

If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. The price is shorter than our own read of about 52%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More Veikkausliiga fixtures

Full fixture list
HJK crestHJKvJaroJaro crest★★★★★
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 3.5 goals in total (xG 2.5-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 86%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
Under 4.5 goals · 1.31Share
SJK crestSJKvLahtiLahti crest★★★★★
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 53%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
Under 2.5 goals · 2.10Share
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