How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 59%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Inter Turku host HJK at home in a Veikkausliiga clash on 29 October 2026. The league table is tight at the top. Inter Turku sit one place above HJK with three points separating them, while KuPS sit just below HJK on equal points. Both clubs are chasing the best possible finish, so a win will tighten the race. The numbers we have suggest Inter Turku are the slightly stronger side, with an expected 1.5 goals against HJK’s 1.2. Both teams have a high chance of finding the net – 79 % for Inter Turku and 73 % for HJK – which makes a goal-rich game likely.
Inter Turku have been solid in their last eight matches, winning five, drawing one and losing two. Their recent results read: a 1-0 win away at VPS, a 2-1 home loss to AC Oulu, a 1-0 home win over KuPS, a 0-0 draw away at Gnistan, a 1-0 away win at AC Oulu and a 1-0 home win over VPS. In their last four games at home they have three victories and one defeat. Across those eight games they have scored seven goals and let in four, keeping six clean sheets and failing to score only once. Two of those matches featured three or more goals and both sides scored in two of the games.
HJK come into this fixture unbeaten in their last eight outings, with five wins and three draws. Their recent run includes a 2-2 home draw with KuPS, a 4-0 home win over Gnistan, a 4-3 away win at AC Oulu, a 6-0 home thrashing of VPS, a 1-1 away draw with Gnistan and a 0-0 away draw with KuPS. On the road in their last four games they have two wins and two draws. In total they have scored 21 goals and conceded eight, keeping three clean sheets and being held scoreless once. Five of those eight games saw both teams score, and six featured three or more goals. They played just four days ago, so fatigue could be a factor.
The two clubs have met five times recently. HJK have won once, the other four meetings have ended in draws, and Inter Turku have not won any of those games. Those encounters have produced an average of 2.6 goals per match. The most recent meeting was a 2-1 win for HJK on 9 September 2026. Given the tight history and the goal-rich nature of their recent fixtures, we expect another open game with chances at both ends.
Our pick is that both teams will score. The chance of both sides finding the net sits at 59 % and the price of 1.63 matches our view of the game. The price looks good for the risk we are taking. For the pick to fail, either side would need to keep a clean sheet. That could happen if Inter Turku’s defence, which has kept six clean sheets in eight games, holds firm, or if HJK’s attack is blunted after a short turnaround. As long as both teams manage to break the deadlock, we expect the bet to pay off.
Recent results
HJK have won one of the last five meetings, with four drawn.
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