Academia Puerto Cabello v Monagas SC prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.8 from Monagas SC, so Academia Puerto Cabello come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Academia Puerto Cabello come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Academia Puerto Cabello to win. Academia Puerto Cabello are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.8), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.