What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Elfsborg and 0.9 from Kalmar, so Elfsborg come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Elfsborg or Draw. This covers Elfsborg or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Elfsborg have won three of their last five.
✓Kalmar have not won any of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
27 Apr 2026Kalmar 2 - 1 Elfsborg
29 Sept 2024Kalmar 1 - 3 Elfsborg
22 Apr 2024Elfsborg 1 - 2 Kalmar
17 Sept 2023Elfsborg 0 - 3 Kalmar
9 Jul 2023Kalmar 0 - 4 Elfsborg
