What to expect
We expect about 2.6 goals from Malmo FF and 1.1 from Orgryte, so Malmo FF come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Malmo FF or Draw. This covers Malmo FF or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 85 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.10, which works out at about 91 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Malmo FF have won three of their last five.
✓Orgryte have won one of their last five.
Recent meetings
5 Apr 2026Orgryte 1 - 1 Malmo FF
