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Football/Allsvenskan/GAIS v Malmo FF
Allsvenskan · Gamla Ullevi

GAIS v Malmo FF prediction

GAIS crestGAISWLDWW
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FFWDLWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from GAIS and 1.1 from Malmo FF, so GAIS come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

GAIS come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.6 goals in total (xG 1.4-1.2), keeping it under more often than not (about 74%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
GAIS have won three of their last five.
Malmo FF have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

12 Apr 2026Malmo FF 3 - 1 GAIS
9 Nov 2025Malmo FF 2 - 1 GAIS
5 Jul 2025GAIS 0 - 0 Malmo FF
18 Sept 2024GAIS 0 - 0 Malmo FF
16 May 2024Malmo FF 1 - 0 GAIS
Malmo FF have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

One thing to watch

One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles.

More Allsvenskan fixtures

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