Hacken v Mjallby: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 61%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

Hack en host Mjällby at home in this Allsvenskan clash on 11 September 2026. Hack en sit higher in the table, while Mjällby sit 12th of 16 with 20 points from 19 games and a –8 goal difference. A win for Hack en could push them further up the table and give them breathing room, whereas Mjällby need points to stay clear of the relegation battle. IFK Göteborg sit one place above Mjällby, six points clear, and Kalmar FF sit just below, one point behind, so Mjällby cannot afford another slip. The two clubs have met five times before, with Mjällby winning four and Hack en one, and the games have averaged 1.8 goals.

Hack en’s form over the last eight matches shows a mixed picture. They have won three, drawn three and lost two. The most recent results are a 0-0 draw away at GAIS, a 3-1 home defeat to Västerås SK, a 3-0 away win over Sirius, a 1-0 home win over Halmstad, a 3-0 away loss to Hammarby and a 1-1 home draw with Kalmar. In those eight games Hack en have scored eight goals and let in seven. They have kept five clean sheets but have also failed to find the net in three matches. Four of those games featured three or more goals, and both sides scored in two of them. At home in the last four fixtures they have one win, two draws and one loss.

Mjällby arrive on the back of a poor run, having lost six of their last eight games and won only once. Their recent results are a 4-1 home loss to Göteborg, a 2-0 home defeat to Djurgården, a 4-0 away loss to Djurgården, a 4-3 home win over Sirius, a 1-0 home loss to Elfsborg and a 2-1 away loss to Kalmar. In this stretch they have scored seven goals while conceding 18. They have kept just one clean sheet and have been shut out four times. Five of those eight matches produced three or more goals, and both teams scored in four of them. The most recent game, a 4-1 defeat at home to Göteborg, showed they can score but are vulnerable at the back, and it came only four days ago, giving them a short turnaround before the visit to Hack en.

When the two sides meet, the recent head-to-head record favours Mjällby, who have won four of the last five meetings. The most recent encounter was a 1-0 win for Hack en on 17 May 2026. Those five meetings have produced an average of 1.8 goals, suggesting they are usually low-scoring affairs but not shut-outs. Given Hack en’s modest scoring record and Mjällby’s tendency to both score and concede, a game with goals at both ends is plausible.

We pick both teams to score. Hack en average about 1.6 goals per game and Mjällby about 1.3, so each side has enough firepower to find the net. The price of 1.61 matches our view of the match. We see a 61 % chance of both sides scoring. For this to fail, either Hack en would have to keep a clean sheet, which they have done five times in eight games, or Mjällby would have to be shut out, which has happened four times in their recent run. If both of those occur, the pick would be wrong. Otherwise we expect goals from both sides.