How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Hacken to win 59%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
The game looks like a contest where Hacken have the edge. The numbers give them about two goals to Vasteraas SK’s one, so they are clearly the stronger side. That also means there should be chances for both teams, making the match fairly open.
Hacken have been a mixed bunch in their last five league outings, with two wins, two draws and a loss. They are coming off two straight victories, which should give them a little momentum heading into the fixture.
We think Hacken will win. The price of 1.50 is shorter than what we feel the game is worth, but with a 60 % chance of success the choice feels the safer play. The odds are low, but the probability backs the pick.
The risk is that the match could turn into a tight, low-scoring affair and Vasteraas SK might snatch a draw. If Hacken fail to convert their chances, the result could be a surprise. We still feel fairly confident, but we know there is a 40 % chance the outcome will not go our way.
Recent meetings
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