How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. We made Under 3.5 goals 64%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Hammarby come into this on two straight draws. Hacken come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 3.4 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.81, which works out at about 55 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Hammarby are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Hacken have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
31 May 2026Hacken 3 - 2 Hammarby
21 Sept 2025Hammarby 4 - 0 Hacken
27 Apr 2025Hacken 1 - 1 Hammarby
26 Sept 2024Hammarby 2 - 0 Hacken
21 Apr 2024Hacken 2 - 1 Hammarby
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. We make it about 64%: a lean, not a lock.
