How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 5. We made Kalmar to score 71%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Kalmar and 1.4 from Hacken, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Kalmar come into this on three straight defeats. Hacken come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Kalmar to score. This is about Kalmar's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Kalmar have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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