FC Noah v Gandzasar: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.7 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made FC Noah to win 89%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

FC Noah host Gandzasar at home in the Armenia Premier League on 4 September 2026. Noah sit top of the twelve-team table with fifteen points from five games and a goal difference of +10. Their lead puts them in the league’s European places, just two points clear of second-placed Alashkert. Gandzasar sit down in ninth place, also on five games but with only three points and a goal difference of -6. They are one spot above Ararat and one below BKMA. Both clubs have a lot to play for – Noah want to keep their lead intact, while Gandzasar hope to climb out of the lower half and avoid slipping further.

Noah come into this match on the back of two straight wins. In their last eight fixtures, which include both home and away games, they have won three, drawn one and lost four. The most recent results, newest first, are a 4-0 victory over Ararat at home, a 1-0 win away at BKMA, a 4-3 loss away to TSC Backa Topola, a 3-1 defeat at home to Apoel Nicosia, a goalless draw at home with Vikingur Reykjavik and an 8-0 loss away to Chelsea. In those eight games Noah have scored eleven goals and let in sixteen. They kept four clean sheets but also failed to find the net in three matches. Four of the games featured three or more goals and both sides scored in two of those encounters. Their last home outing was five days ago, and in their last four matches at home they have recorded two wins, one draw and one loss.

Our pick is a win for FC Noah. The goal expectations put Noah at about three goals a game while Gandzasar are expected to score less than one. That gap makes Noah the clear favourite. We think the chance of a Noah win is about eighty-eight percent. The price on offer is 1.10, which sits very close to our own view of the game. Taking Noah to win looks the cleaner play. For this to go wrong, Gandzasar would need to find a way to score early and then hold on, or Noah would have to drop points after a slow start. Otherwise the result should follow the numbers.