How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Gandzasar to win 36%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Gandzasar and 1.3 from Ararat, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Gandzasar to win. Gandzasar are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make them about 37% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 36 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.20, which works out at about 45 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
