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Football/Austria 2. Liga/BW Linz v FC Liefering
Austria 2. Liga

BW Linz v FC Liefering prediction

BW Linz crestBW Linz1st of 16 · 19 ptsDLWWD
v
FC Liefering crestFC Liefering8th of 16 · 13 ptsLLW

What to expect

We expect about 2.4 goals from BW Linz and 1.1 from FC Liefering, so BW Linz come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: BW Linz to win. BW Linz are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-1.1), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓BW Linz have won two of their last five.
✓FC Liefering have won one of their last three.

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