How it turned out
We projected about 3.7 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made FC Liefering or Draw 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.3 goals from FC Liefering and 1.3 from Sturm Graz II, so FC Liefering come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
FC Liefering come into this on two straight defeats. Sturm Graz II come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FC Liefering or Draw. This covers FC Liefering or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
FC Liefering have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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