How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 1. We made SPG HOGO Wels or Draw 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from SPG HOGO Wels and 1.2 from SW Bregenz, so SPG HOGO Wels come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
SPG HOGO Wels come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: SPG HOGO Wels or Draw. This covers SPG HOGO Wels or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.64, which works out at about 61 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
SPG HOGO Wels have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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