What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from First Vienna FC and 1.1 from SKU Amstetten, so First Vienna FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
SKU Amstetten come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: First Vienna FC to win. First Vienna FC are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.1), and we make them about 45% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 46 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.50, which works out at about 40 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for SKU Amstetten to spoil this. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 46%.
