How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 1. We made First Vienna FC or Draw 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from First Vienna FC and 1.1 from SKU Amstetten, so First Vienna FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: First Vienna FC or Draw. This covers First Vienna FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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