How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Over 2.5 goals 57%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Austria Vienna come into this on two straight defeats. LASK come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. Goals expected. The model projects about 3.0 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.86, which works out at about 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Austria Vienna have won two of their last five.
✓LASK are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
17 May 2026Austria Vienna 0 - 3 LASK
5 Apr 2026LASK 4 - 1 Austria Vienna
1 Mar 2026Austria Vienna 2 - 2 LASK
17 Aug 2025LASK 2 - 1 Austria Vienna
1 Dec 2024LASK 1 - 3 Austria Vienna
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