How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored. We made Over 1.5 goals 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. Goals expected. The model projects about 2.2 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Ried have won one of their last five.
✓SK Rapid have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
6 Dec 2025SK Rapid 1 - 2 Ried
26 Oct 2025Ried 0 - 2 SK Rapid
15 Oct 2022Ried 1 - 0 SK Rapid
24 Jul 2022SK Rapid 1 - 0 Ried
28 Nov 2021Ried 2 - 2 SK Rapid
One thing to watch
An early goal can kill the tempo just as easily as spark it, and a quiet second half leaves this short. We make it about 75% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
