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Football/Austrian Bundesliga/Hartberg v A. Lustenau
Austrian Bundesliga · Profertil Arena Hartberg

Hartberg v A. Lustenau prediction

Hartberg crestHartbergWWWDD
v
A. Lustenau crestA. LustenauWDLWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.7 goals from Hartberg and 0.9 from A. Lustenau, so Hartberg come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Hartberg come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: A. Lustenau to score 1 or fewer. This is about A. Lustenau's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 72%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
Hartberg are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
A. Lustenau have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

29 Oct 2023A. Lustenau 0 - 4 Hartberg
29 Jul 2023Hartberg 2 - 2 A. Lustenau
2 Jun 2023A. Lustenau 5 - 1 Hartberg
31 Mar 2023Hartberg 0 - 1 A. Lustenau
5 Nov 2022Hartberg 1 - 1 A. Lustenau
A. Lustenau have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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More Austrian Bundesliga fixtures

Full fixture list
Hartberg crestHartbergvLASKLASK crest★★★★★
This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.1-1.7), landing about 62% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
Match outlookOver 2.5 goals · 1.46Share
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