How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made A. Lustenau to score 1 or fewer 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Hartberg and 1.0 from A. Lustenau, so Hartberg come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Hartberg come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: A. Lustenau to score 1 or fewer. This is about A. Lustenau's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
A. Lustenau have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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