How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Grazer AK to score 1 or fewer 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Grazer AK and 1.9 from Salzburg, so Salzburg come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Salzburg come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Grazer AK to score 1 or fewer. This is about Grazer AK's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Salzburg have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.
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