SK Rapid v A. Lustenau prediction

SK Rapid1st of 12 · 21 ptsLWWWW

A. Lustenau9th of 12 · 8 ptsDLLWL

What to expect

We expect about 2.1 goals from SK Rapid and 0.9 from A. Lustenau, so SK Rapid come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

SK Rapid come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: SK Rapid to win. SK Rapid are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.9), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓SK Rapid have won four of their last five.

✓A. Lustenau have won one of their last five.

✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

3 Mar 2024SK Rapid 1 - 1 A. Lustenau

7 Oct 2023A. Lustenau 0 - 5 SK Rapid

29 Oct 2022A. Lustenau 3 - 3 SK Rapid

7 Aug 2022SK Rapid 1 - 1 A. Lustenau

SK Rapid have won one of the last four meetings, with three drawn.

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