What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Sturm Graz and 0.9 from Ried, so Sturm Graz come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Ried come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Ried to score 1 or fewer. This is about Ried's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 80%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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