How it turned out

The game finished with 3 goals. We made Club Brugge -1 (win by 2+) 63%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

I like this pick because Club Brugge are expected to score a lot of goals. The price looks good for them to win by two or more. We think they are strong enough to beat Kortrijk by a clear margin.

One thing to watch

The handicap leaves no cushion — Club Brugge have to win by the full margin, and one goal short still loses. At around 63% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.