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★★★★★This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.0 goals in total (xG 1.0-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 74%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
Pro League
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
9Matches
4Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Friday 9 October
v★★★★★Saturday 10 October
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★★★★★This is about Cercle Brugge's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 76%.
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★★★★★Club Brugge shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-2.4), and we make them about 71% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★Genk are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.7), and we make them about 74% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Sunday 11 October
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★★★★★This is about Standard's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.
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★★★★★We make this around 2.8 goals (xG 2.4-0.5), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 83%).
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
