What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Genk and 0.9 from RAAL La Louviere, so Genk come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Genk come into this on two straight defeats. RAAL La Louviere come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Genk to win. Genk are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-0.9), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
All two of the last meetings were drawn.
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