How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Charleroi (Draw No Bet) 68%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Kortrijk and 1.5 from Charleroi, so Charleroi come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Kortrijk come into this on two straight defeats. Charleroi come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Charleroi (Draw No Bet). Charleroi are favoured here (xG 0.9-1.5), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Charleroi defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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