Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Lommel SK prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.1 goals from Oud-Heverlee Leuven and 1.1 from Lommel SK, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.1 goals in total (xG 1.1-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 73%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.