How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Genk have won two of their last five.
One thing to watch
A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. At around 63% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
