What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Guabirá and 2.2 from Bolívar, so Bolívar come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Bolívar come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bolívar to win. Bolívar shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-2.2), and we make them about 59% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.86, which works out at about 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Bolívar have won five of the last five meetings.
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