How it turned out
We projected about 3.9 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made CDT Real Oruro or Draw 64%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.1 goals from CDT Real Oruro and 1.8 from Nacional Potosí, so CDT Real Oruro come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.9 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: CDT Real Oruro or Draw. This covers CDT Real Oruro or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.60, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
CDT Real Oruro have won two of the last three meetings.
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