What to expect
We expect about 2.2 goals from Guabirá and 1.4 from San Antonio Bulo Bulo, so Guabirá come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Guabirá come into this on two straight defeats. San Antonio Bulo Bulo come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Guabirá to win. Guabirá are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.4), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
San Antonio Bulo Bulo have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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