What to expect
We expect about 2.1 goals from Oriente Petrolero and 1.1 from Independiente Petrolero, so Oriente Petrolero come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Oriente Petrolero or Draw. This covers Oriente Petrolero or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.12, which works out at about 89 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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