What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Botafogo SP and 1.1 from Vila Nova, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Vila Nova come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Botafogo SP or Draw. This covers Botafogo SP or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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