What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Ponte Preta and 1.2 from Operario Ferroviario, so Operario Ferroviario come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Ponte Preta come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Operario Ferroviario or Draw. This covers Operario Ferroviario or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.16, which works out at about 86 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Operario Ferroviario have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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