What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from São Bernardo and 1.0 from Vila Nova, so São Bernardo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: São Bernardo or Draw. This covers São Bernardo or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓São Bernardo have won one of their last five.
✓Vila Nova are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
Recent results
18 Oct 2026Lvs Criciúma · 0 - 1
11 Oct 2026Dat Juventude · 2 - 2
6 Oct 2026Lat Sport Recife · 2 - 1
2 Oct 2026Wvs CRB · 3 - 1
25 Sept 2026Dat Novorizontino · 0 - 0
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